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ENGLISH RECORD 80

How AI Is Changing Work

Credible forecasts state assumptions, task definitions and time horizons.
Contemporary labor forecastingGlobalAutomation · augmentation · employment

01 · WHAT IT IS

Overview

AI may automate tasks, augment workers and reorganize occupations without mapping neatly to whole-job replacement.
94/100source traceability

02 · ORIGINAL TEXT AND EARLIEST SOURCE

What can be traced?

The earliest reviewable baseline used by SALGIL is International Labour Organization · AI and work, dated or associated with 2020s onward. Credible forecasts state assumptions, task definitions and time horizons. The archive treats later quotations, translations and event matches as separate evidence layers.

03 · HISTORICAL BACKGROUND

The world behind the text

This record belongs to Phase 6: Scientific futures. Its historical importance lies in how automation · augmentation · employment developed within Global. The page preserves the difference between the original setting and later global reuse.

64 · AI & LABOUR OBSERVATORY

How AI Is Changing Work

Tasks change before occupations disappear

Instead of forecasting a list of vanishing jobs, this dossier tracks which tasks are exposed, where AI is actually used, and how employment, wages and entry routes change. It keeps observations from 2022–2026 separate from projections to 2030.Exposure is not job loss

00 · DEFINITIONS

Similar-looking numbers answer different questions

Exposure, use, automation and employment outcomes must not be collapsed into one risk score.

Exposure

Technical potential for AI to perform some tasks in an occupation

Observed use

Share of tasks where AI tools are actually observed

Automation / augmentation

Whether a tool substitutes for work or assists a person

Employment outcome

Measured change in hiring, headcount, hours or wages

86

Evidence maturity

International comparisons and early evidence

94

Source traceability

Methods, dates and reports are accessible

28

Certainty of job loss

Whole-occupation loss remains uncertain

100

Need for updates

Tools, adoption and employment move rapidly

01 · TASK → OUTCOME

Start with the bundle of tasks, not the job title

1

Task exposure

Find units such as drafting, classification and summarisation.

2

Job redesign

People retain review, approval, face-to-face and field judgement.

3

Hiring and headcount

Productivity, demand and organisational choices shape staffing.

4

Wages and distribution

Technology alone does not decide who receives productivity gains.

02 · WORK MAP

Five work zones instead of one replacement list

01

Fast automation pressure

Data entry, routine documents, basic translation, simple support

Repetitive digital inputs with clear output formats
02

High augmentation potential

Coding, design, accounting review, legal research, medical documentation

Speed rises; verification and responsibility remain human
03

Field hybrids

Maintenance, construction, logistics, quality inspection

Information can automate while physical settings vary
04

Human accountability

Safety, clinical decisions, hiring, education, care, disputes

Trust, context and liability are central
05

Growing bridge roles

AI operations and audit, data stewardship, cyber security, workflow design

Connecting systems safely matters more than a model alone

03 · KOREA

In Korea, exposure and inequality must be read together

The Bank of Korea estimates 51% of Korean jobs are highly affected by AI: 24% high-exposure/high-complementarity and 27% high-exposure/low-complementarity. These are task-based estimates, not observed dismissal rates.
51%

High AI impact

Bank of Korea 2025 estimate

24%

High exposure · high complement

Potential productivity pairing

27%

High exposure · low complement

Watch substitution and income risk

83%

No overall staffing change

GenAI-using SMEs · OECD 2025

04 · ENTRY LADDER

The youth question is whether the first rung is narrowing

From July 2022 to July 2025, Korean youth jobs fell by 211,000; one analysis places 208,000 of the decline in high-AI-exposure industries. Demography and pre-existing trends also matter, so the full decline cannot be assigned causally to AI.
Signal

Entry roles in clerical and ICT work show change early.

Risk

Automating junior tasks can remove the first stage of skill formation.

Response

Redesign apprenticeships, review roles and training—not only job counts.

05 · FIELD CASE

Field maintenance changes tools before it loses people

In HVAC and equipment maintenance, AI can assist reports, fault-pattern analysis, inventory and scheduling. Disassembly, measurement, electrical and leak safety, exceptions and final accountability remain with the technician.
1

AI assistance

Manual search · checklist · anomaly pattern · quote draft

2

Human measurement

Noise · vibration · temperature · pressure · site context

3

Accountable action

Isolation · repair · commissioning · customer explanation

06 · TIME HORIZONS

Keep observation, projection and scenario clocks separate

Observed now

Early signals in tool use, youth employment, adoption and job redesign

Employer projection

WEF projects 170m jobs created and 92m displaced across all macrotrends, net +78m. It is neither an AI-only effect nor a guaranteed outcome.

Structural scenario

Education, labour law, distribution and robotics can send hours and wages along very different paths.

07 · CLAIM AUDIT

Popular claims and what the evidence can support

AI will replace every job

Occupations bundle tasks and accountability. Current evidence supports broad transformation, not universal replacement.

Unsupported

A net 78 million jobs by 2030 is guaranteed

The WEF figure is an employer-survey projection across all macrotrends, not an AI-only forecast.

Conditional projection

High exposure means high unemployment

Exposure includes both automation and augmentation; outcomes depend on demand, firms, institutions and time.

Category error

Prompt engineer is the defining future job

The skill may be absorbed into domain roles rather than remain a standalone title.

Watch

Physical work is safe

Change may be slower, but scheduling, diagnosis, logistics and robotics alter parts of it.

Partly true

Productivity automatically raises wages and leisure

Distribution depends on bargaining, competition, institutions and ownership.

Not automatic

08 · PREPARATION

Build portable capability instead of betting on one job

Problem framing

Decide what to automate and what to preserve

Verification

Check errors, evidence, safety and final decisions

Domain depth

Know the field well enough to judge AI output

Data judgement

Measurement, privacy, bias and records

Human work

Negotiation, explanation, care, teaching and conflict

Transition learning

Durable foundations and repeated retraining

09 · EVIDENCE LEDGER

A living evidence ledger

Figures are not automatically updated. Each new release is reviewed by a person for date, method, sample and comparability with earlier figures.Editorial review: 8 September 2026 · Every statistic is stored with the publisher’s definition and reference year.
ILO 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index↗WEF 2025Future of Jobs Report 2025↗IMF 2024Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work↗AnthropicEconomic Index↗OECD 2025Artificial Intelligence and the Labour Market in Korea↗BOK 2025AI and the Korean Economy↗BOK 2025AI diffusion and youth employment↗KLI 2026Labor Review No. 251↗

12 · RELATED RECORDS

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