ENGLISH RECORD 141
Craig Hamilton-Parker’s Annual Predictions
A 2024 video predicted Khamenei’s death in 2025. The death occurred in 2026, so the archive records a deadline MISS rather than a hit. His separate claim that Iran’s theocratic order will collapse by the end of 2027 is now locked as PR-2027-002.01 · WHAT IT IS
Overview
Craig Hamilton-Parker publishes large annual sets of political, royal and disaster predictions. Of the three forecasters reviewed, his first-party record is the strongest for claim-by-claim scoring.
02 · ORIGINAL TEXT AND EARLIEST SOURCE
What can be traced?
03 · HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
The world behind the text

An original editorial reconstruction created specifically for this archive record. It visualizes the subject and is not documentary evidence or an authenticated historical image.
SALGIL original illustration · record sources below ↗05 · DOCUMENT TIMELINE
When the record changed
- Earliest reviewable baseline2026 annual prediction video · 19 Nov 2025 anchors the first layer used on this page.
- Interpretation expandsDated source · deadline discipline · base rate · selection bias
- Claim meets outcomeDated originals are a major strength, but annual lists still require a complete denominator and fixed definitions for collapse, chaos and breakthrough.
- SALGIL editorial reviewOriginal, interpretation and outcome are retained as separate records.
06 · EDITION AND WITNESS COMPARISON
How the evidence for Craig Hamilton-Parker’s Annual Predictions changes
The date of a document and the date of an interpretation are recorded separately.| Witness or edition | Date | Editorial status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 annual prediction video · 19 Nov 2025 | 2010s onward | Baseline source | A 2024 video predicted Khamenei’s death in 2025. The death occurred in 2026, so the archive records a deadline MISS rather than a hit. His separate claim that Iran’s theocratic order will collapse by the end of 2027 is now locked as PR-2027-002. |
| Scholarly or institutional interpretation | Later review | Context layer | Explains language, history and uncertainty without becoming the original text. |
| Viral quotation or modern event match | Recent circulation | Derivative layer | Most vulnerable to translation drift, omitted failures and hindsight; compare with 2026 annual prediction video · 19 Nov 2025. |
07 · MAJOR CLAIMS
Representative claims and their limits
Central claim
Iranian revolution and regime collapse, changes in China and Britain, royal deaths, economic shocks and World Cup outcomes.
Original-first test
The claim is checked against 2026 annual prediction video · 19 Nov 2025, not against a later summary.
Outcome test
Dated originals are a major strength, but annual lists still require a complete denominator and fixed definitions for collapse, chaos and breakthrough.
08 · WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED
Comparison with events
Dated originals are a major strength, but annual lists still require a complete denominator and fixed definitions for collapse, chaos and breakthrough.09 · DISPUTES AND COUNTERARGUMENTS
Where interpretation changes
The main dispute concerns the distance between 2010s onward and Dated source · deadline discipline · base rate · selection bias. Translation, selective quotation, changed definitions and hindsight can make a broad record appear more exact than it was. Competing readings are therefore preserved rather than silently merged.10 · EVIDENCE SCORE & PROVISIONAL CONCLUSION
Many dated sources · individual scoring possible
Craig Hamilton-Parker publishes large annual sets of political, royal and disaster predictions. Of the three forecasters reviewed, his first-party record is the strongest for claim-by-claim scoring. SALGIL's provisional score reflects source traceability and testability, not religious worth or cultural importance.11 · SOURCES AND REVIEW