PROPHECY CHECK · HAMILTON-PARKER-IRAN-2027
Hamilton-Parker Iran forecast — 2027 pre-registration
Craig Hamilton-Parker · United Kingdom · IranFirst public2025년 연례 예측 영상
Prediction window2025-01-01 — 2027-12-31
Resolve by2028-01-15
Source levelB · first-party video
What is being claimed?
A forecast that Iran's theocratic constitutional order will end by 2027.
Earliest source
A 2025 annual forecast video and the predictor's own itemized page are used as registration sources.
Original wording
The video's wording and deadline were summarized and locked in the registration ledger.
04 · CLAIM BREAKDOWN
Break the claim into testable parts
05 · OUTCOME
What actually happened
The window remains open and no final verdict is issued before human review.06 · COUNTERARGUMENTS & CAUTIONS
Where interpretation can change
- 01Distinguish regime weakening from constitutional termination.
PRE-REGISTRATION · HUMAN REVIEW REQUIRED
Locked before the outcome
- claim
- A forecast that Iran's theocratic constitutional order will end by 2027.
- source_person
- Craig Hamilton-Parker
- registered_at
- 2026-08-30
- prediction_start
- 2025-01-01
- prediction_end
- 2027-12-31
- resolve_by
- 2028-01-15
- falsification_criterion
- Without an official end to Iran's theocratic constitutional order by the deadline, the claim is not a hit.
- snapshot_url
- Open snapshot ↗
- source_hash
469f72fcf53596572f8b09b08e4cbab675713d3a4d14d284df3e4ecd2228305c- status
- Pre-registered
- final_verdict
- Not set — human review required
- reviewed_at
- 2026-08-31
08 · SOURCES & EVIDENCE
Structured source record
2025 annual prediction video
Craig Hamilton-Parker · English
Published 2025 · Checked 2026-08-30Predictor's itemized review
Psychics.co.uk · English
Published 2026 · Checked 2026-08-30